Exceptional drought (D4) by state — week of October 27, 2026 시장에서 '펜실베이니아주' 선택지의 현재 확률은 50%이며, 24시간 동안 — 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 — · 1주 변화 —. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 펜실베이니아주에 이번 주에 D4(심각한 가뭄)가 발생할까요?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pennsylvania has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Pennsylvania carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid October 27, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Pennsylvania market and make no claim about Pennsylvania's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.원문
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pennsylvania has D4 (Exceptional Drought) on 0.05% or more of its land area in the US Drought Monitor release for the week of October 27, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". D4 area below 0.05% is treated as cartographic noise at state borders and resolves "No". Pennsylvania carries a market in June through October, so this market exists for the week valid October 27, 2026. Weeks outside that window have no Pennsylvania market and make no claim about Pennsylvania's drought. Each USDM release covers the seven-day period ending Tuesday at 8:00 AM ET and is published the following Thursday. Resolution is based on the first published US Drought Monitor release for the listed week. The first published release is final, and that publication is the revisions cutoff; subsequent revisions will not be considered. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions remain subject to the cutoff above. The only exception is a correction of a clearly erroneous print under the preceding paragraph, which will be used even if published after the cutoff. If the US Drought Monitor has not been published by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the scheduled publication date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the US Drought Monitor at droughtmonitor.unl.edu.
변경 기록을 불러오는 중입니다.
Will Pennsylvania have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week?
이 시장의 번역·데이터 오류 신고 →