트럼프가 2026년에 몇 명을 추방할 것인가? 시장에서 '40만~50만 명' 선택지의 현재 확률은 68%이며, 24시간 동안 +0.5%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 — · 1주 변화 +3.5%p. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 트럼프가 40만~50만 명을 추방할 것인가?
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.원문
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf). This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year. The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
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Will Trump deport 400-500k people?
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