Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
원본 갱신 2026. 9. 11. 21:33 KST · 출처: Polymarket. 참여자들의 거래 가격이며 확정 결과가 아닙니다.
2026년에 규모 7.0 이상의 지진은 몇 회 발생할까? 시장에서 '14–16' 선택지의 현재 확률은 50%이며, 24시간 동안 +1.5%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 +1.0%p · 1주 변화 +2.5%p. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 2026년에 전 세계에서 규모 7.0 이상의 지진이 14~16회 발생할까?
한국어로 정리하고 있어요…
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
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