
Will there be a power grid emergency in New England before October 1?
원본 갱신 2026. 9. 17. 19:51 KST · 출처: Polymarket. 참여자들의 거래 가격이며 확정 결과가 아닙니다.
10월 1일 이전에 전력망 비상 사태가 발생할 것인가? 시장에서 '뉴잉글랜드 (ISO-NE)' 선택지의 현재 확률은 1%이며, 24시간 동안 +0.4%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 — · 1주 변화 -1.8%p. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 10월 1일 이전에 뉴잉글랜드에서 전력망 비상사태가 발생할 것인가?
한국어로 정리하고 있어요…
This market resolves "Yes" if ISO New England (ISO-NE) — the grid operator for the six New England states of Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, Rhode Island, and Vermont — declares a NERC Energy Emergency Alert at Level 2 (EEA-2) or Level 3 (EEA-3) at any point from this market's creation through 11:59 PM ET on September 30, 2026. A lower EEA-1 declaration does not qualify. A declaration qualifies as long as it happened before the deadline, even if it is only documented or reported afterward. A DOE Section 202(c) emergency order is not a NERC EEA declaration and does not qualify. Because Energy Emergency Alerts are federally reportable, a qualifying declaration is also verifiable through mandatory NERC or U.S. Department of Energy records (DOE Form OE-417, published at https://www.oe.netl.doe.gov/oe417.aspx) even if no other source captures it. The declaration will be confirmed by any official ISO New England communication — its press releases (https://www.iso-ne.com/about/news-media/press-releases), market notices, or real-time system-status postings — or by credible national news reporting. It qualifies as long as the declaration itself happened before the deadline, even if it is only documented or reported afterward. Otherwise, this market resolves "No".
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