
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.0% at the end of 2026?
원본 갱신 2026. 9. 17. 14:27 KST · 출처: Polymarket. 참여자들의 거래 가격이며 확정 결과가 아닙니다.
2026년 말 연준 금리는 얼마일까? 시장에서 '3.0%' 선택지의 현재 확률은 <1%이며, 24시간 동안 -0.1%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 — · 1주 변화 -0.1%p. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 2026년 말에 목표 연방기금금리의 상한이 3.0%가 될까요?
한국어로 정리하고 있어요…
The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).
변경 기록을 불러오는 중입니다.