
Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?
원본 갱신 2026. 9. 18. 02:27 KST · 출처: Polymarket. 참여자들의 거래 가격이며 확정 결과가 아닙니다.
다음 러시아 국가두마 선거에서 최소 1석 이상 획득할 정당은 어디인가? 시장에서 '로디나' 선택지의 현재 확률은 87%이며, 24시간 동안 +1.9%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 -0.2%p · 1주 변화 -2.2%p. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 로드니나가 다음 러시아 국가두마 선거에서 최소 1석을 획득할 것인가?
한국어로 정리하고 있어요…
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed party receives at least one seat in the Russian State Duma as a result of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election. Otherwise, that market will resolve to “No”. Seats will be counted only where the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation attributes them to the named party. Seats attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If a named party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, seats officially attributed to that successor party will count. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, each market will resolve to “No”. These markets will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, they will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
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