
Will over 68 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?
원본 갱신 2026. 9. 15. 23:09 KST · 출처: Polymarket. 참여자들의 거래 가격이며 확정 결과가 아닙니다.
클라리티 법안에 찬성표를 던질 상원의원은 몇 명인가? 시장에서 '68명 초과' 선택지의 현재 확률은 4%이며, 24시간 동안 -10.4%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 — · 1주 변화 +0.9%p. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 클래리티 법안에 찬성하는 상원의원이 68명을 넘을까요?
한국어로 정리하고 있어요…
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of Senators voting "Yea" on the first Senate vote on final passage of crypto market structure legislation occurring before January 1, 2027 is above the number specified in this market's title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Above" means strictly greater than the number specified in the title. For example, a market titled "Above 58" will resolve to "Yes" only if 59 or more Senators vote "Yea". For purposes of this market, "crypto market structure legislation" is defined identically to Polymarket's "Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?" market: https://polymarket.com/event/crypto-market-structure-legislation-becomes-law-in-2026-20260727223933088 The qualifying vote must be a vote on final passage of the bill conducted in the full Senate - not a committee vote, and not a vote on a motion to proceed, a motion to invoke cloture, or an amendment. Not every Senator needs to have participated in the vote. The first vote on final passage will be used for resolution regardless of whether the bill passes on that vote; subsequent votes on passage — including any re-vote following a motion to reconsider, or a vote on a conference report or House-amended version — will not be considered. If no qualifying vote occurs before January 1, 2027, this market will resolve to "No". If qualifying legislation passes the Senate before January 1, 2027 without a prior recorded vote on final passage (e.g., passage by voice vote or unanimous consent), this market will resolve to "Yes" regardless of the number specified in this market's title. Once the result of the vote has been announced, any subsequent request by a Senator to add, remove, or change a vote will not be considered for purposes of this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally. This market will resolve according to official records of the U.S. Senate (http://senate.gov) and Library of Congress (http://congress.gov).
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