CA-04 하원 선거 당선자 (개인별) 시장에서 '마이크 톰슨' 선택지의 현재 확률은 81%이며, 24시간 동안 — 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 — · 1주 변화 +0.5%p. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 마이크 톰슨이 CA-04 하원 의석을 차지할까?
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).원문
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
변경 기록을 불러오는 중입니다.
Will Mike Thompson win the CA-04 House seat?
이 시장의 번역·데이터 오류 신고 →