
Will François Bayrou advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
원본 갱신 2026. 9. 15. 04:06 KST · 출처: Polymarket. 참여자들의 거래 가격이며 확정 결과가 아닙니다.
다음 프랑스 대통령 선거: 누가 2차 투표에 진출할 것인가? 시장에서 '프랑수아 바이루' 선택지의 현재 확률은 4%이며, 24시간 동안 -1.2%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 — · 1주 변화 +0.1%p. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 프랑수아 바이루가 다음 프랑스 대통령 선거 2차 결선 투표에 진출할 것인가?
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The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held around April 2027. This market pertains to the outcome of the next French presidential election, regardless of whether it follows the scheduled end of the current term or is held earlier. The President of France is elected via a two-round system; a candidate must secure over 50% of the vote to win outright in the first round. If no candidate achieves this, the top two contenders advance to a runoff second round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to the second round of the next French presidential election or wins the election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no such election occurs or the results of the first round of this election are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
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