
상원 3자 조합: 아이오와, 캔자스, 네브래스카 시장에서 '민주당 아이오와, 공화당 캔자스, 무소속 네브래스카' 선택지의 현재 확률은 17%이며, 24시간 동안 -1.5%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 +0.5%p · 1주 변화 —. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 민주당이 아이오와 상원 의석을 차지하고, 공화당이 캔자스를 차지하며, 무소속이 네브래스카를 차지할 것인가?
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Iowa, Kansas, and Nebraska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. Because no Democratic candidate is on the ballot in Nebraska, the Nebraska race is represented by “Republican” and “Independent” (Ind) options. The “Independent” option refers to a win by a candidate running as an independent in the Nebraska Senate election. For purposes of this market, Dan Osborn will be considered to be an Independent regardless of any affiliation that he may have with any party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins the Iowa or Kansas election, or a third-party candidate wins the Nebraska election, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification. 원문
This market will resolve according to the outcome of the United States Senate general elections in Iowa, Kansas, and Nebraska that are currently scheduled for November 3, 2026, inclusive of any potential runoffs. A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. Because no Democratic candidate is on the ballot in Nebraska, the Nebraska race is represented by “Republican” and “Independent” (Ind) options. The “Independent” option refers to a win by a candidate running as an independent in the Nebraska Senate election. For purposes of this market, Dan Osborn will be considered to be an Independent regardless of any affiliation that he may have with any party. If the results of one of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins the Iowa or Kansas election, or a third-party candidate wins the Nebraska election, this market will resolve to "Other". For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins all races. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
변경 기록을 불러오는 중입니다.
Will Democrats win the Iowa Senate seat, Republicans win Kansas, and an independent win Nebraska?
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