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전체 시장
사회진행 중원문

TIME Person of the Year 2026

선택한 항목Benjamin Netanyahu7%
현재 수치 요약

TIME Person of the Year 2026 시장에서 'Benjamin Netanyahu' 선택지의 현재 확률은 7%이며, 24시간 동안 — 변했습니다.

원본 데이터 갱신 2026. 9. 3. PM 11:40:12 · 시장 가격 기반이며 확정 결과나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
이 시장 공유하기핵심 수치와 출처 안내가 한 번에 정리됩니다.

Benjamin Netanyahu7%— 오늘
1일1주1개월전체
1시간—
24시간—
1주—
누적 거래량188달러

시장 핵심 정보

현재 공개 데이터에서 계산
현재 선두Zohran Mamdani32%
선두 격차16.5%pPope Leo XIV 대비
선택 항목 순위4위Benjamin Netanyahu · 7%
상위 3개 합계59%표시된 시장 가격 단순 합계

위 수치는 원본 시장 가격을 정리한 정보이며 PolyView의 예측이나 의견이 아닙니다.

시장 설명과 판정 기준

원문의 의미와 예외 조건을 확인하세요
마감12월 31일
상태진행 중
선택 항목Benjamin Netanyahu

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person, group, entity, or thing is TIME Person of the Year for 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A listed option will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they/it are explicitly named as Person of the Year. Additionally, the following rules apply: If multiple people are explicitly named person of the year, both people will be considered TIME Person of the Year. If the TIME Person of the Year is a concept, group or thing, a person may still be considered Person of the Year if they are also explicitly named person of the year, or if they are directly associated with the concept, group or thing named as person of the Year and are pictured on any official TIME cover announcing the Person of the Year. For example, in 2025 when TIME Person of the Year was “Architects of AI” the option for Sam Altman would have resolved to “Yes” as he was associated with the concept and is pictured on the Cover. However, if Sam Altman were Person of the Year, and ChatGPT was shown on the cover, this would not qualify for ChatGPT because ChatGPT is not a person. If the TIME Person of the Year is a specific concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. artificial intelligence), listed concepts or entities will be considered Person of the Year only if they are synonymous with the announced TIME Person of the Year. For example, if ChatGPT were Person of the Year, options for AI or LLMs would resolve to “No” because, while they are conceptually linked, they are not synonymous. If TIME uses language that does not refer to a specific, commonly-recognized, concept, group, entity, or thing (e.g. 2011’s “The Protester” or 2017’s “The Silence Breakers”), the TIME Person of the Year feature article will be used to determine the meaning of the language defining TIME Person of the Year. In such cases, listed concepts, groups, or things will be considered TIME Person of the Year if they can be reasonably understood as equivalent to the meaning of the language used to define TIME Person of the Year. For example, the option for “The Me Too Movement” would have resolved to “Yes” in 2017. If for any reason the TIME's Person of the Year is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the TIME magazine cover or covers announcing the 2026 TIME Person of the Year; however, the TIME Person of the Year Feature article may also be used.

원문과 공개 자료

사용자가 직접 확인할 수 있는 출처
Polymarket 원본 시장 데이터Gamma API · 시장 ID 2363828
데이터 내려받기현재 시장과 확률 이력
JSONCSV
이 시장의 번역·데이터 오류 신고 →

선택지별 확률

Zohran Mamdani-1.5%p32%Pope Leo XIV—16%Donald Trump—12%Benjamin Netanyahu—7%Elon Musk-0.5%p7%Artificial Intelligence—7%Dario Amodei-0.1%p6%Reid Wiseman-0.3%p6%Bad Bunny—6%Jeremy Hansen-0.3%p5%Christina Koch+0.1%p5%Jerome Powell+0.1%p4%James Talarico-0.4%p4%Victor Glover-0.5%p4%Sam Altman-0.8%p4%Marco Rubio-0.3%p4%Taylor Swift-0.1%p3%Shehbaz Sharif-0.4%p3%Péter Magyar-0.5%p3%Alysa Liu-0.4%p3%ChatGPT+0.1%p2%

확률 정보만 제공하며 거래는 지원하지 않습니다.

시장 정보

24시간 거래량
0달러낮음 · 315위 밖
유동성
2만 달러낮음 · 375위 밖
마감
12월 31일 · D-119
업데이트 2026. 9. 3. PM 11:40:12

데이터 기록

원본 시장 ID
2363828
이벤트 ID
528018
원본 갱신
2026. 9. 3. PM 11:40:12
언어
원문 표시
수집·번역 방법론 →번역·데이터 오류 신고 →