2026년에 SpaceX 스타십 발사 중 몇 회가 우주에 도달할까요? 시장에서 '5-6' 선택지의 현재 확률은 36%이며, 24시간 동안 +1.5%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 +0.5%p · 1주 변화 -1.5%p. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 2026년에 SpaceX 스타십 발사 중 5-6회가 우주에 성공적으로 도달할까요?
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.원문
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
변경 기록을 불러오는 중입니다.
Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
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