
우크라이나 평화 국민투표가 ...까지 예정될까? 시장에서 '2027년 12월 31일' 선택지의 현재 확률은 31%이며, 24시간 동안 -1.0%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 +1.5%p · 1주 변화 —. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31, 2027?원문
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a peace referendum on the Russo-Ukrainian war is officially scheduled in Ukraine by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A peace referendum for the Russo-Ukrainian war refers to any nationwide vote relating to peace in the Russo-Ukrainian war or over a peace deal to end the war. A qualifying referendum will be considered to be scheduled once a date for the referendum to take place has been officially scheduled and publicly announced by a relevant Ukrainian government authority with the legal jurisdiction to do so. Once a qualifying referendum has been scheduled, this market will resolve to “Yes.” Subsequent legal challenges or other challenges to the legitimacy of the referendum will not affect resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.원문
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Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31, 2027?
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