
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win between 30% and 33% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
원본 갱신 2026. 9. 17. 14:23 KST · 출처: Polymarket. 참여자들의 거래 가격이며 확정 결과가 아닙니다.
브라질 대통령 선거 1차 투표: 플라비우 보우소나루 득표율? 시장에서 '30-33%' 선택지의 현재 확률은 1%이며, 24시간 동안 -15.5%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 +0.2%p · 1주 변화 —. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 2026년 브라질 대통령 선거 1차 투표에서 플라비우 보우소나루가 유효 투표의 30%에서 33% 사이를 득표할 것인가?
한국어로 정리하고 있어요…
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Flávio Bolsonaro in the first round of this election. The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official vote count. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
변경 기록을 불러오는 중입니다.