
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
원본 갱신 2026. 9. 17. 10:15 KST · 출처: Polymarket. 참여자들의 거래 가격이며 확정 결과가 아닙니다.
2027년 이전에 규모 9.0 이상의 지진이 발생할까요? 시장의 현재 '그렇다' 확률은 3%, '아니다' 확률은 97%입니다.
1시간 변화 -0.1%p · 1주 변화 -2.2%p. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 2027년 이전에 규모 9.0 이상의 지진이 발생할까요?
한국어로 정리하고 있어요…
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 1 or more earthquakes with a magnitude of 9.0 or higher occur anywhere on Earth between December 8, 2025 12:00 PM ET, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used. After a qualifying earthquake is registered, this market will remain open for 24 hours to account for any revisions to its recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
변경 기록을 불러오는 중입니다.