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WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 3?

현재 수치 요약

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 3? 시장의 현재 '그렇다' 확률은 46%, '아니다' 확률은 54%입니다.

원본 데이터 갱신 2026. 9. 3. PM 4:36:35 · 시장 가격 기반이며 확정 결과나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
이 시장 공유하기핵심 수치와 출처 안내가 한 번에 정리됩니다.

현재 확률46%— 오늘
1일1주1개월전체
1시간+10.5%p
24시간—
1주—
누적 거래량1,743달러

시장 핵심 정보

현재 공개 데이터에서 계산
그렇다46%현재 시장 가격 기반
아니다54%현재 시장 가격 기반
24시간 변화—직전 24시간 대비
시장 상태진행 중원본 시장 상태

위 수치는 원본 시장 가격을 정리한 정보이며 PolyView의 예측이나 의견이 아닙니다.

시장 설명과 판정 기준

원문의 의미와 예외 조건을 확인하세요
마감9월 4일
상태진행 중
선택 항목WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 3?

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on September 3, 2026, is higher than the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on September 3, 2026, is lower than the Close price for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless Friday were not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, in which case it would refer to the next most recent prior trading day. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, if the Active Month contract does not trade at all during the relevant trading session, or if the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule, the market will resolve 50-50. For the purposes of this market, trading days will be determined according to the applicable trading hours schedule for the underlying market. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours. Per CME contract specifications for WTI Crude Oil (CL) futures, a contract's last trading day is three business days prior to the 25th calendar day of the month preceding the contract's delivery month (or four business days prior if the 25th calendar day is not a business day). The active month changes at the start of the second trading session prior to the nearest listed contract's last trading session. At that point, the next listed contract becomes the active month (i.e., for the final three trading sessions of the nearest listed contract, the contract for the next month is the active month). The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. For example, if the 25th of the month is a Saturday, the last trading session for the nearest listed contract is the session for Tuesday the 21st, and the next listed contract becomes the active month at the start of the trading session for Friday the 17th (6:00 PM ET on Thursday), assuming a standard trading calendar. Both closing prices will reference the same underlying contract, specifically the contract that is considered the Active Month at the end of the trading session on the specified date. If either of the relevant days has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official settlement price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the underlying market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candles for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures available at https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI. Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.

원문과 공개 자료

사용자가 직접 확인할 수 있는 출처
Polymarket 원본 시장 데이터Gamma API · 시장 ID 4126077
pythdata.apppythdata.app
데이터 내려받기현재 시장과 확률 이력
JSONCSV
이 시장의 번역·데이터 오류 신고 →

시장 예상

그렇다46%
아니다54%

확률 정보만 제공하며 거래는 지원하지 않습니다.

시장 정보

24시간 거래량
1,743달러낮음 · 344위 밖
유동성
4,929달러낮음 · 399위 밖
마감
9월 4일 · D-1
업데이트 2026. 9. 3. PM 4:36:35

데이터 기록

원본 시장 ID
4126077
이벤트 ID
953237
원본 갱신
2026. 9. 3. PM 4:36:35
언어
원문 표시
수집·번역 방법론 →번역·데이터 오류 신고 →