
Will the US strike 10 countries in 2026?
원본 갱신 2026. 9. 10. 20:22 KST · 출처: Polymarket. 참여자들의 거래 가격이며 확정 결과가 아닙니다.
미국이 2026년에 몇 개의 다른 국가에 대해 군사 작전을 수행할까? 시장에서 '10' 선택지의 현재 확률은 3%이며, 24시간 동안 -3.1%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 — · 1주 변화 -0.8%p. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 미국이 2026년에 10개국을 공격할까?
번역이 지연되고 있어요
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that the United States initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by the United States as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by US military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the US government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by US ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
변경 기록을 불러오는 중입니다.