
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 18, 2026?
원본 갱신 2026. 9. 20. 22:20 KST · 출처: Polymarket. 참여자들의 거래 가격이며 확정 결과가 아닙니다.
후티 반군이 선박 공격을 성공적으로 수행할 것인가...? 시장에서 '9월 18일' 선택지의 현재 확률은 47%이며, 24시간 동안 -1.5%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 -0.5%p · 1주 변화 —. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 2026년 9월 18일까지 후티 반군이 선박 공격을 성공적으로 수행할 것인가?
한국어로 정리하고 있어요…
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Attacks on military vessels will not be considered. Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris. Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship. Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
변경 기록을 불러오는 중입니다.