
Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win less than 16% of all valid votes?
원본 갱신 2026. 9. 14. 08:16 KST · 출처: Polymarket. 참여자들의 거래 가격이며 확정 결과가 아닙니다.
스웨덴 총선: SD당 득표율? 시장에서 '<16%' 선택지의 현재 확률은 <1%이며, 24시간 동안 -2.8%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 -0.3%p · 1주 변화 -1.8%p. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 스웨덴 민주당(SD)이 전체 유효 투표의 16% 미만을 득표할까요?
한국어로 정리하고 있어요…
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Sweden Democrats (SD) in the specified election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
변경 기록을 불러오는 중입니다.