
Will SPD win the third-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
원본 갱신 2026. 9. 21. 06:41 KST · 출처: Polymarket. 참여자들의 거래 가격이며 확정 결과가 아닙니다.
베를린 주의회 선거: 3위 시장에서 'SPD' 선택지의 현재 확률은 <1%이며, 24시간 동안 -0.5%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 — · 1주 변화 -6.3%p. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 SPD가 2026년 베를린 주의회 선거에서 세 번째로 많은 의석을 차지할 것인가?
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Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
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