오아하카 의회 선거 승자 시장에서 'PVEM' 선택지의 현재 확률은 5%이며, 24시간 동안 +1.1%p 변했습니다.
1시간 변화 — · 1주 변화 -2.9%p. PolyView의 자체 예측이나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
선택한 조건 PVEM이 2027년 오아하카 주의회 선거에서 가장 많은 의석을 차지할까?
Legislative elections to elect the 42 members of the Congress of the State of Oaxaca are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Oaxaca as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Oaxaca. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Oaxaca, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Oaxaca and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Oaxaca (https://www.ieepco.org.mx/).원문
Legislative elections to elect the 42 members of the Congress of the State of Oaxaca are scheduled to take place on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of the State of Oaxaca as a result of this election. Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party's list in the proportional representation vote, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats will be attributed to the political party under which each elected deputy is officially registered in the final results published by the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Oaxaca. For district (mayoría relativa) seats won by a coalition or common candidacy, the seat will count toward the party to which the elected deputy is assigned in the official results, pursuant to the coalition agreement registered with the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Oaxaca, and not toward the coalition as a whole. Proportional representation seats will count toward the party to which they are allocated. Subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the official results as reported by the governments of Oaxaca and Mexico, including the Instituto Estatal Electoral y de Participación Ciudadana de Oaxaca (https://www.ieepco.org.mx/).
변경 기록을 불러오는 중입니다.
Will PVEM win the most seats in the 2027 Oaxaca Congress election?
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