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전체 시장폴리마켓 가이드데이터 방법론문의·기능 제안개인정보처리방침서비스 안내거래·베팅 기능 없음
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홈탐색변동안내
전체 시장
사회진행 중원문

Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by September 30?

선택한 항목↑$25.5B4%
현재 수치 요약

Will Perplexity's valuation hit __ by September 30? 시장에서 '↑$25.5B' 선택지의 현재 확률은 4%이며, 24시간 동안 -1.5%p 변했습니다.

원본 데이터 갱신 2026. 9. 3. PM 8:36:37 · 시장 가격 기반이며 확정 결과나 여론조사가 아닙니다.
이 시장 공유하기핵심 수치와 출처 안내가 한 번에 정리됩니다.

↑$25.5B4%-1.5%p 오늘
1일1주1개월전체
1시간—
24시간-1.5%p
1주—
누적 거래량1,271달러

시장 핵심 정보

현재 공개 데이터에서 계산
현재 선두↑$18.5B72%
선두 격차9.5%p↑$18B 대비
선택 항목 순위9위↑$25.5B · 4%
상위 3개 합계163%표시된 시장 가격 단순 합계

위 수치는 원본 시장 가격을 정리한 정보이며 PolyView의 예측이나 의견이 아닙니다.

시장 설명과 판정 기준

원문의 의미와 예외 조건을 확인하세요
마감10월 2일
상태진행 중
선택 항목↑$25.5B

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perplexity's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and September 30, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the specified date, this market will remain open until 11:59 PM ET on the third business day following the specified date. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company’s public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using official regular-hours trading prices published for the company’s listed equities on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here: (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/data?start_date=2025-12-31&view=valuation&companies=company-802a7f97-3625-4614-a13d-d999cf139330). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be the relevant Market Cap figure displayed on https://www.nasdaq.com/ as well as official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.

원문과 공개 자료

사용자가 직접 확인할 수 있는 출처
Polymarket 원본 시장 데이터Gamma API · 시장 ID 4046372
fe.secondmarket.comfe.secondmarket.com
nasdaq.comnasdaq.com
데이터 내려받기현재 시장과 확률 이력
JSONCSV
이 시장의 번역·데이터 오류 신고 →

선택지별 확률

↑$18.5B+34.0%p72%↑$18B-0.5%p62%↑$19.5B+0.5%p30%↓$17B-29.0%p27%↓$16.5B-0.5%p26%↑$20.5B-1.5%p24%↑$23B+14.0%p21%↓$15.5B+4.5%p10%↑$25.5B-1.5%p4%

확률 정보만 제공하며 거래는 지원하지 않습니다.

시장 정보

24시간 거래량
0달러낮음 · 324위 밖
유동성
390달러낮음 · 359위 밖
마감
10월 2일 · D-29
업데이트 2026. 9. 3. PM 8:36:37

데이터 기록

원본 시장 ID
4046372
이벤트 ID
944624
원본 갱신
2026. 9. 3. PM 8:36:37
언어
원문 표시
수집·번역 방법론 →번역·데이터 오류 신고 →