Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026? 시장의 현재 '그렇다' 확률은 6%, '아니다' 확률은 94%입니다.
원본 데이터 갱신 2026. 9. 3. PM 7:30:35 · 시장 가격 기반이며 확정 결과나 여론조사가 아닙니다.위 수치는 원본 시장 가격을 정리한 정보이며 PolyView의 예측이나 의견이 아닙니다.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if George R. R. Martin publicly and explicitly announces by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET that an installment of A Song of Ice and Fire titled "The Winds of Winter" will be released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announcement of the creation of any expansion or sequel not explicitly named "The Winds of Winter" (e.g., Fire & Blood, A Sworn Sword) will not be sufficient to qualify this market toward a "Yes" resolution. The book must have the words "The Winds of Winter" in the title to qualify. This market is concerned only with the announcement of release. The resolution source for this market will be official information from George R. R. Martin or a consensus of credible sources.
