Zohran Mamdani out as mayor of NYC before 2027? 시장의 현재 '그렇다' 확률은 4%, '아니다' 확률은 96%입니다.
원본 데이터 갱신 2026. 9. 3. PM 3:04:33 · 시장 가격 기반이며 확정 결과나 여론조사가 아닙니다.위 수치는 원본 시장 가격을 정리한 정보이며 PolyView의 예측이나 의견이 아닙니다.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.” An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
